Reply To: SARS cov2 and Covid 19


Home Forums Discussion Forum SARS cov2 and Covid 19 Reply To: SARS cov2 and Covid 19

#63266
`Clark

SA, 17:18:

“The overall infection mortality rate has been estimated as between 0.2% and 1% in large series”

1) As I understand it, the more rigorous estimates are near the top end of that range, and some good figures are higher, eg. New York, estimated from excess deaths and serology random sampling, 1.4%; Diamond Princess, where absolutely everyone was both accounted for and tested, 13 deaths from 712 cases, over 1.8%.

2) Overall infection mortality rate has been falling as doctors learn how best to treat the serious cases.

3) All the figures above are for infection mortality rate with most people who need it receiving hospital treatment; we maybe need to double or even triple those figures if hospital isn’t available – and if we let the hospitals overload, this higher figure is the one that will apply to the vast majority for whom there are no beds left.