Reply To: Conspiracy Theorists, Why is Westminster Lifting All COVID Restrictions?


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#74430
Clark

The less cases there are, the easier it is to mop up everyone they’ve been in contact with. Consider my Nanjing example, which I will link again here:

https://www.thenanjinger.com/news/nanjing-news/1-week-1-covid-case-1-disposal-nanjing-gets-it-done-but-how/

1 initial case,
10 close contacts tested,
150 casual contacts, or contacts-of-contacts tested,
30,433 speculative contacts tested.

1 positive result, 30,000+ tests, outbreak stamped out.

Now try applying similar proportions in the UK:

Say 40,000 initial cases on one given day,
400,000 close contacts, approaching half of national testing capacity,
Six million contacts of contacts – exceeds national testing capacity several times over,
Speculative contacts include the entire population.

40,000 initial cases, a million or two tests, covid everywhere; everyone is a potential carrier, no control over the virus whatsoever despite doing 30 to 60 times as many tests.

It pays to keep infection numbers low.