Reply To: SARSCoV2 “outbreak” on isle of Barra in Scotland


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#65273
Clark

“counts deaths from all causes, run over by a bus, as covid, if within 28 days of a Positive (includes False Positives) test.”

Yeah but each person lives about 28,000 days, so the average chance of dying in the next 28 days is only 28 / 28,000, ie. about 1/1000th, so even if true it would barely make any difference anyway.

Steph also already worked this out on another thread. The maximum difference she came up with by a completely different method was 14% ie. about one seventh.

Dave, how long ago does your 0.07% figure refer to? ‘Cos I remember you arguing with me that 380 parts per million atmospheric CO2 concentration was trivial as the rising concentration passed 410PPM. You’re probably just out of date again; maybe you should work things out for yourself rather than believing stuff from whichever sources happen to reinforce whatever you already believe; that’s called confirmation bias:

“Confirmation bias is the tendency to search for, interpret, favor, and recall information in a way that confirms or supports one’s prior beliefs or values.[1] People tend to unconsciously select information that supports their views, but ignore non-supportive or contradicting information. People also tend to interpret ambiguous evidence as supporting their existing position. The effect is strongest for desired outcomes, for emotionally charged issues, and for deeply entrenched beliefs. Everyone, including scientists and intelligent people, can be prone to confirmation bias. Confirmation bias cannot be eliminated entirely, but it can be managed, for example, by education and training in critical thinking skills.”