“That last sentence is a classic. It’s as if two people who’ve both taken a new kind of pill at different ends of the country have both been found the next day with their heads turned round back to front, and then somebody says that since there are very few cases of that happening to people who haven’t taken the pill then we can’t say whether there’s a link.”
If only two people had the pill and had their heads turned round back to front then you’d be right to be cautious (scared out of your wits) if you were the next in line for that pill. If however 1 million people had been given that pill and only two had their heads turnrd round back to front and the other 999,998 people were fine you’d be justified not being too bothered about taking that pill. If head back-to-front syndrome has a background incidence of 2 in a million in those who have never had that pill…………then that pill doesn’t increase your risk.
C’mon N_, you know as well as anyone how statistics work.
