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42 thoughts on “Surefire Prediction”

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  • Clark

    Resident Dissident, 22 May, 10:47 pm; your link doesn’t rank constituencies by the proportion of votes made by postal voting. It ranks them on postal vote take up, which is the proportion of those entitled to vote by post who actually did so.

    Ironically, Blackburn does get a mention, on page 13. Blackburn had the highest proportion of rejected ballots, about fourteen times the national average:

    Once again there is considerable variation between constituencies in both the number and proportion of ballot papers rejected, and in the reasons for rejection. In Blackburn over 1,700 ballots (nearly 4% of the total) were rejected; in Buckingham, where the Speaker stood for re-election with no major party opposition, more than 1,000 ballots were disqualified. In London a total of nearly 800 votes were ruled out for voting more than once in the two Tower Hamlets seats of Bethnal Green and Bow, and Poplar and Limehouse alone. At the other extreme, in 24 constituencies fewer than 50 votes were rejected, including 35 in Filton and Bradley Stoke and 36 in its South Gloucestershire council neighbour Kingswood. It is likely both that returning officers differ in their judgements about the admissibility of ballots, and that electors in some constituencies may be more prone to making errors than those in others

  • Ba'al Zevul (Going Postal)

    To what I said;
    R4 Today programme managed to cover several minutes’ worth of election twaddle without once mentioning the Greens. Funny, dat.”…

    ANON adds without pause or attribution, what someone else said: I bet they gave a healthy shot of publicity to UKIP though.”

    As it happens, they did. In fact the BBC pointed most of its report at the highly localised gains of UKIP and gave an extended interview to a failed UKIP candidate in a London ward. To explain why London was not producing the expected gains for UKIP.

    Re the atlanticist credentials of Farage, or not –

    http://www.vice.com/en_uk/read/the-one-vital-thing-nigel-farage-and-nick-clegg-were-never-going-to-discuss-during-their-eu-debate

    A few words from Farageanon on this subject would be welcome. Farage is against globalisation? I think not.

  • Resident Dissident

    @ Clark

    “Resident Dissident, 22 May, 10:47 pm; your link doesn’t rank constituencies by the proportion of votes made by postal voting. It ranks them on postal vote take up, which is the proportion of those entitled to vote by post who actually did so.”

    I don’t think that you are correct the table makes it clear (as does the text) that the figures are percentages of the electorate – and the text also says that in total 82%+ of those given postal votes actually exercised their vote.

  • Les Wilson

    I think labour go door to door and talk those who are too old to care, too disabled to care, too poor to care. “Hi would you like to vote, you really should you know, but if you can’t do we will do it for you, to save you the trouble, just sign here.
    The probably start early and stack them in old money bags, to be brought out when needed!

  • Jemand

    “Quigley, you’re clearly a bit thick – I didn’t say I was disabled.”

    You didn’t have to. It is self-evident.

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